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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.96vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.76+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+0.55vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.43vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
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5.3Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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2.57Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
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3.8Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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2.82University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 21.1% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 4.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 68.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 23.9% | 9.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 28.2% | 24.1% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 27.7% | 14.1% |
| Sam Harris | 23.9% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.