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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.10vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.87+3.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.39vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+3.89vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.15+2.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-1.68vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71+2.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.30vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+1.52vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-3.14vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-3.90vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-1.22vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.77vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-4.52vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.54-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Boston College2.5611.5%1st Place
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4.1Yale University2.7121.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College1.879.1%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.5%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College1.846.3%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.183.9%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.155.0%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University2.179.6%1st Place
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11.23Fordham University0.712.4%1st Place
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11.3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
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12.52Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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8.86Tulane University1.344.9%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University1.865.8%1st Place
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10.1University of Hawaii1.053.2%1st Place
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13.78Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
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11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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14.77Northwestern University-0.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 21.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.