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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35-0.21vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.42vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.76+0.36vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.32-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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2.79University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
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2.58Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
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5.36Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.74Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 21.0% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 5.1% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 26.7% | 8.9% |
| Sam Harris | 24.3% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 26.6% | 26.6% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 70.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 27.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.