← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.85vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.35+0.74vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.63vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.32-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
-
2.74University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
-
2.5Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
-
3.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.53Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 22.1% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| Sam Harris | 23.3% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 12.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 30.2% | 23.2% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.3% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 27.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.