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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+0.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.62vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
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2.74University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
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2.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.53Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Beauregard | 30.0% | 23.4% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 10.6% |
| Sam Harris | 23.6% | 23.3% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 12.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 21.3% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 13.9% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.4% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 24.1% | 28.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.