← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College2.11+1.06vs Predicted
-
2Monmouth University-0.52+5.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia-0.43+4.03vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.42+5.67vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.49vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University1.77-3.60vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.84+1.03vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.86vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.35-2.16vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College-0.99-1.51vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Military Academy-1.19-2.11vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University-1.19-2.76vs Predicted
-
13University of Rochester-0.89-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.06Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
-
7.27Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
-
7.03University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.67Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.49Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
-
2.4Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
-
8.03Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
-
6.84Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
8.49Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.89U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.24Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
-
8.43University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 40.7% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.3% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Collin Ross | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 23.9% |
| Cole Bender | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 30.5% | 32.1% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 19.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.