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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+0.98vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+4.30vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.35+3.41vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+1.79vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52-0.26vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.42+0.95vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-0.99-1.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.62vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.19-2.40vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.77-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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6.3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.41Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.74Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.95Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.9Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.6Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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2.41Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 42.2% | 33.5% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 4.9% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 3.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 10.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Collin Ross | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 25.9% |
| Keaton Rose | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 12.4% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 31.4% | 30.5% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.