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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.13vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+4.97vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.44vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.52+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+2.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89+1.47vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.03-1.85vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.84-1.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.77vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-0.99-2.96vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.19-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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6.97Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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2.56Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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7.62Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.15Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.17Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.43Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.04Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.55Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 39.8% | 30.6% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 28.8% | 29.3% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Alexa Whitman | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 18.6% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.