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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.09vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+3.92vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.52+4.22vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.35+2.70vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-2.52vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.43-0.19vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-1.19-0.25vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.19-1.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.89-2.79vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-0.99-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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5.92Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.22Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.7Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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2.48Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.57Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.75Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.4Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 40.1% | 30.1% | 17.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 30.8% | 28.5% | 20.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 20.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.