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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.13vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.52vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03+3.30vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+2.53vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.35+2.03vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.99+2.80vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52+0.47vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.84+0.44vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.89-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.43-3.89vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.19-2.45vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.19-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.52Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.3Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.03Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.8Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.47Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.44Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.03Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.55Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 40.8% | 29.0% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 30.7% | 29.1% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 3.8% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Strein | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Cole Bender | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 2.7% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 24.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.