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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.36+7.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.40vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+2.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71-0.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.49vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+1.93vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+1.72vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+1.40vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.97vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-2.48vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71+0.34vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.63vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24+0.48vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.05vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-5.08vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.42vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.55-5.40vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.05-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Boston College1.365.2%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.3%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University2.1710.9%1st Place
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3.99Yale University2.7120.3%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University1.866.0%1st Place
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8.72Tulane University1.345.5%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College1.847.0%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University0.712.8%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.8%1st Place
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13.48University of Vermont0.241.7%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.5%1st Place
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9.92University of Hawaii1.054.0%1st Place
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12.58Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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11.6Northwestern University0.553.4%1st Place
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13.71Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.3% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 21.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.