Race 5A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Taylor Canfield 15.2% 15.3% 12.8% 11.0% 9.7% 7.7% 7.0% 6.2% 5.5% 3.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Zeke Horowitz 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.6% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 5.6% 6.6% 3.8% 3.6%
Michael Menninger 14.7% 11.9% 11.1% 11.8% 9.8% 8.1% 9.5% 6.3% 6.5% 2.9% 2.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Mateo Vargas 3.9% 5.2% 7.4% 7.0% 6.2% 4.7% 6.1% 7.9% 5.7% 7.8% 8.1% 6.2% 7.6% 6.0% 6.9% 3.3%
Coleman Bowen 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 7.4% 8.4% 10.0% 5.2%
William Hutchings 3.0% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 5.8% 5.7% 6.0% 5.8% 8.3% 7.1% 9.2% 11.8% 12.3%
Samuel Blouin 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 8.4% 8.1% 9.6% 7.3% 6.7% 6.3% 6.5% 5.7% 4.6% 3.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5%
Ian Holtzworth 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 5.7% 4.8% 5.2% 5.4% 7.6% 6.0% 7.6% 9.7% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0%
Alan Palmer 10.3% 11.1% 9.9% 8.8% 8.8% 7.7% 7.1% 8.9% 5.8% 6.5% 5.3% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.9%
Michael Whitford 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 4.8% 5.8% 8.5% 8.1% 9.9% 8.3% 7.7% 6.7% 6.7%
Eamon Glackin 4.7% 4.1% 4.9% 6.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.1% 6.4% 8.3% 6.7% 8.3% 9.7% 7.5% 6.8%
Gavin Rudolph 5.0% 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% 5.4% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.1%
Shawn Murray 5.8% 7.0% 9.0% 6.5% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 7.5% 8.3% 6.8% 7.5% 4.4% 5.0% 4.3% 3.4% 1.4%
Edward Glackin 4.2% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4% 6.6% 5.1% 5.8% 5.6% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 8.3% 8.6% 6.7% 8.3% 7.8%
Jason Carminati 4.2% 4.2% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 6.1%
Vincent Andrews 1.4% 2.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 7.7% 10.1% 13.6% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.