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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.07vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.49vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+3.20vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.89+3.09vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+0.76vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.43-1.10vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.52-2.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.19-2.06vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.19-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.49Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.59Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.76Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.79Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.23Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.09Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.86Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.0% | 30.1% | 17.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 29.3% | 29.6% | 19.6% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Cole Bender | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 15.3% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Keaton Rose | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.