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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.51vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+0.12vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.52+4.65vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+3.00vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.84+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+2.54vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.99+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.43-0.72vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.43vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.35-2.96vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.19-1.72vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.19-2.46vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.03-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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2.12Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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7.65Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.0Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.37Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.76Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.04Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.28Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.34Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 30.5% | 27.5% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.8% | 29.1% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Cole Bender | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% |
| Keaton Rose | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Brendan Strein | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.6% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 21.8% |
| Alexa Whitman | 3.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.