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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.05vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.43+3.96vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+2.21vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.35+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+2.17vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03-1.20vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.47vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.52-1.99vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.99-1.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.19-2.09vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.19-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.49Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.96University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.72Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.8Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.53Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.01Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.27Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.9Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.7% | 30.1% | 17.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 29.7% | 29.8% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Brendan Strein | 3.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Cole Bender | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 16.6% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 22.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.