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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.09vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.22+6.46vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03+2.11vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+2.39vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.43-0.89vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.59vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.99-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.90vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.84-3.53vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.92-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.47Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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9.46Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.11Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.32Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.66Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.47Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.74Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.3% | 29.0% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 31.4% | 29.5% | 18.8% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 20.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Cole Bender | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.6% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.