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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.41vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.52+5.02vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03+2.74vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-1.97vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.43+0.77vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.89-0.11vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.22-0.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-1.19-1.39vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.99-2.72vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.92-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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7.02Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.74Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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2.03Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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6.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.68Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.28Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.11Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 30.0% | 30.2% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 1.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 42.6% | 30.8% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Cole Bender | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 20.1% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| Keaton Rose | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.