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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.08vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+4.81vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-0.99+5.77vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-1.49vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.03+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+2.43vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.43-0.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-1.19+0.36vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-0.69vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.52-3.78vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.84-3.51vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.92-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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6.81Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.77Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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2.51Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.94Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.31Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.22Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.49Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.71Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.2% | 29.7% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 29.4% | 29.5% | 19.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 20.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 20.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.