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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.04vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.42vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43+2.81vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.22+3.72vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89+0.83vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.52-1.03vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-0.99-0.91vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.92-2.02vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-4.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.19-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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2.42Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.8Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.72Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.47Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.97Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.09Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.98Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.8% | 29.8% | 17.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 30.0% | 31.0% | 19.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 23.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.