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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+1.07vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+3.83vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.22+5.96vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43+2.86vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-2.56vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.99+2.24vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.89+0.01vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.42vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.52-2.93vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.92-3.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.19-3.07vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.97-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Washington College2.110.4%1st Place
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5.83Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.96Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.44Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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8.24Ocean County College-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.07Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.9Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Military Academy-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.09Rutgers University-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 41.2% | 30.5% | 16.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 6.7% |
| Maxwell Penders | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 31.0% | 29.8% | 18.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keaton Rose | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Strein | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Cole Bender | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.7% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
| Henry Jensen | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 7.3% |
| Ajita Nair | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.