Race 1B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stefano Palamara 32.6% 24.7% 18.9% 11.4% 7.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 11.4% 12.8% 15.8% 14.6% 13.1% 12.5% 8.9% 6.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 9.1% 10.3% 11.4% 14.1% 13.7% 14.7% 10.2% 9.2% 4.2% 2.8% 0.3%
Kennedy Jones 22.5% 22.8% 17.5% 16.4% 10.0% 5.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 6.8% 7.2% 8.7% 9.7% 12.9% 12.0% 12.9% 11.3% 10.1% 6.0% 2.4%
Charlotte Shaw 3.4% 3.8% 6.2% 6.0% 8.2% 10.0% 11.7% 13.7% 15.4% 12.4% 9.2%
Zachary Brooks 3.0% 4.5% 2.9% 4.9% 8.5% 8.5% 12.8% 13.0% 16.0% 13.9% 12.0%
Nicholas Gould 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 5.5% 8.1% 10.5% 11.7% 19.8% 33.3%
Ethan Hall 6.2% 7.6% 9.4% 12.1% 12.8% 13.2% 12.9% 10.5% 8.4% 5.3% 1.6%
Gil Hankinson 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 4.2% 4.7% 7.3% 9.6% 13.0% 14.5% 18.5% 20.4%
Sarah Ward 1.7% 1.9% 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 6.9% 9.3% 10.4% 15.7% 20.1% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.