Race 2B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Palamara 30.9% 23.8% 19.9% 12.2% 7.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 8.1% 9.3% 13.8% 14.2% 14.4% 11.7% 11.4% 7.0% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Mason Chapman 6.7% 6.2% 7.3% 10.8% 11.1% 11.7% 10.8% 14.0% 10.2% 6.0% 4.1% 1.1%
Shay Gualdoni 9.6% 12.8% 13.4% 15.0% 14.6% 12.0% 9.6% 5.7% 4.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 24.0% 23.0% 16.6% 14.7% 8.5% 7.2% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Hall 6.7% 7.7% 9.8% 8.8% 11.4% 12.9% 14.2% 10.3% 7.0% 7.2% 3.4% 0.6%
Kate Faranetta 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.7% 7.1% 7.3% 9.7% 10.1% 13.6% 13.7% 11.7% 10.3%
Charlotte Shaw 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 6.4% 7.6% 9.8% 9.9% 12.2% 12.0% 12.6% 10.7% 6.4%
Gil Hankinson 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 5.0% 6.7% 7.8% 10.3% 13.3% 14.2% 16.8% 17.0%
Zachary Brooks 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 4.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.5% 10.9% 13.3% 13.4% 13.7% 10.7%
Nicholas Gould 1.4% 1.9% 0.9% 1.6% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 7.6% 9.1% 14.2% 18.0% 32.2%
Sarah Ward 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 5.9% 6.6% 9.6% 11.1% 12.9% 19.0% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.