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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+7.19vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.42vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.58+6.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.52+1.23vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+2.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.53vs Predicted
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8Washington College3.65+1.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37+1.35vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.84vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-1.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.64vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-6.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-5.36vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.89-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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7.42SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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5.03Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.32Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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5.16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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6.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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12.15Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.2% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.1% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| William Hutchings | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% |
| Michael Menninger | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Vincent Andrews | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.