Race 5B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stefano Palamara 31.6% 26.7% 16.5% 13.1% 7.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 10.7% 13.0% 13.8% 15.3% 15.4% 11.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 5.9% 6.1% 8.3% 8.6% 11.9% 14.4% 13.5% 13.1% 10.6% 5.3% 2.3%
Kennedy Jones 22.4% 22.0% 18.9% 17.1% 9.2% 5.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jessica Schaefer 10.2% 11.6% 11.8% 14.0% 14.6% 11.7% 10.9% 8.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Zachary Brooks 2.5% 2.3% 5.0% 5.7% 5.4% 9.5% 10.1% 13.6% 15.4% 17.4% 13.1%
Ethan Hall 8.0% 7.1% 11.4% 10.9% 13.0% 14.3% 12.2% 10.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.8%
Sarah Ward 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 6.4% 6.5% 10.0% 12.4% 13.8% 19.8% 21.1%
Nicholas Gould 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 2.0% 3.6% 4.1% 7.4% 9.0% 13.0% 19.3% 35.5%
Charlotte Shaw 3.5% 4.6% 5.4% 6.0% 8.2% 11.8% 12.1% 14.8% 14.7% 12.5% 6.4%
Gil Hankinson 1.7% 2.2% 3.4% 4.6% 5.3% 7.4% 10.2% 11.1% 16.3% 18.5% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.