Race 6B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Palamara 30.5% 24.0% 20.5% 10.9% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Hall 5.9% 7.4% 8.6% 11.1% 13.8% 11.5% 12.1% 11.6% 7.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.2%
Mason Chapman 6.1% 6.4% 7.7% 11.6% 10.1% 11.6% 12.8% 12.0% 10.5% 6.8% 2.8% 1.6%
Jessica Schaefer 8.5% 10.7% 12.8% 12.7% 15.1% 13.7% 10.1% 6.5% 4.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Kennedy Jones 24.0% 23.5% 15.9% 15.0% 9.2% 6.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 2.9% 3.7% 5.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.7% 9.1% 13.0% 13.8% 14.1% 10.4% 5.7%
Shay Gualdoni 12.4% 11.4% 14.8% 14.7% 11.7% 11.5% 10.5% 5.2% 4.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Gil Hankinson 1.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 4.1% 5.8% 8.4% 9.5% 9.8% 14.3% 18.1% 18.2%
Sarah Ward 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 4.8% 6.2% 8.4% 9.1% 11.8% 15.2% 17.5% 18.7%
Zachary Brooks 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 6.1% 8.5% 9.4% 11.2% 12.4% 13.8% 12.5% 11.3%
Nicholas Gould 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 8.0% 10.3% 10.2% 19.4% 33.3%
Kate Faranetta 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 3.4% 7.1% 9.1% 8.6% 11.4% 13.4% 14.8% 13.4% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.