Race 7B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stefano Palamara 31.7% 27.8% 16.8% 13.0% 6.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 11.2% 13.0% 14.9% 15.2% 15.0% 11.2% 8.2% 6.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Jessica Schaefer 8.9% 9.8% 11.6% 15.0% 13.2% 13.6% 12.3% 8.2% 5.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Ethan Hall 5.7% 6.8% 9.3% 11.6% 13.3% 13.8% 13.1% 10.9% 8.7% 5.1% 1.7%
Kennedy Jones 24.8% 22.7% 18.3% 14.5% 8.8% 4.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 5.2% 6.6% 9.0% 11.3% 13.1% 12.3% 13.8% 10.8% 9.3% 5.8% 2.8%
Charlotte Shaw 4.6% 3.6% 5.4% 6.3% 8.3% 11.6% 12.4% 15.1% 14.0% 11.3% 7.4%
Zachary Brooks 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 4.4% 8.2% 10.2% 10.8% 13.3% 13.6% 16.2% 12.6%
Sarah Ward 1.9% 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 4.4% 6.1% 7.3% 12.5% 15.4% 19.2% 24.7%
Gil Hankinson 1.8% 2.4% 4.0% 3.6% 5.1% 8.3% 9.1% 10.7% 15.2% 20.0% 19.8%
Nicholas Gould 1.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 4.2% 5.7% 7.9% 9.5% 14.4% 19.7% 30.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.