Race 8B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Palamara 31.1% 26.7% 17.4% 11.8% 6.8% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 10.3% 10.9% 15.9% 13.5% 14.8% 11.2% 10.1% 5.8% 4.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 24.5% 20.7% 18.3% 14.7% 10.8% 6.2% 2.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 4.6% 6.8% 8.0% 11.3% 12.5% 10.7% 13.0% 10.4% 9.0% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5%
Jessica Schaefer 9.2% 10.3% 11.2% 15.2% 13.6% 10.5% 11.1% 6.9% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Ethan Hall 6.7% 7.4% 9.5% 8.9% 11.7% 14.3% 11.9% 11.1% 8.6% 4.8% 4.4% 0.7%
Zachary Brooks 3.0% 3.2% 3.7% 5.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.9% 12.0% 12.3% 13.8% 11.9% 11.8%
Charlotte Shaw 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 5.9% 5.9% 10.2% 11.3% 12.8% 11.6% 12.7% 9.7% 6.7%
Kate Faranetta 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 4.7% 6.9% 10.1% 9.3% 11.4% 14.1% 13.5% 13.8% 7.6%
Nicholas Gould 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.6% 8.0% 9.6% 11.9% 19.1% 30.2%
Sarah Ward 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 5.8% 7.0% 9.0% 10.8% 16.6% 16.1% 21.8%
Gil Hankinson 1.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 6.0% 7.4% 9.7% 12.5% 12.6% 18.4% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.