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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+4.13vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+2.67vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81-0.33vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+1.86vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.51-1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.90+0.17vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-1.71+0.96vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73-2.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-2.36+0.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.01-1.31vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-2.35-1.41vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.08-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.67Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.67Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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5.86Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.18Washington College0.510.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Virginia-0.900.1%1st Place
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7.96Ocean County College-1.710.0%1st Place
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5.69Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.59Drexel University-2.350.0%1st Place
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8.95Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Schaefer | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 30.7% | 24.5% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 22.8% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Brooks | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| William Roberts | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 24.4% |
| Gil Hankinson | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 14.6% |
| Jasper Sinatra | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 29.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.