Race 10B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 29.2% 25.1% 18.5% 12.0% 7.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 23.4% 22.3% 17.7% 13.6% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 4.8% 4.8% 7.6% 10.2% 12.0% 12.3% 11.5% 11.9% 9.8% 8.2% 4.9% 1.7% 0.3%
William Roberts 5.7% 7.8% 7.9% 10.9% 13.1% 11.6% 11.3% 12.2% 9.1% 6.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Jessica Schaefer 9.3% 10.7% 12.9% 10.6% 12.1% 13.1% 11.8% 8.6% 6.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Shay Gualdoni 11.1% 11.2% 13.5% 14.1% 13.6% 10.6% 10.8% 6.9% 4.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 4.1% 3.1% 3.2% 4.6% 6.1% 8.2% 6.7% 10.7% 13.5% 14.7% 13.8% 9.3% 2.0%
Gil Hankinson 2.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 5.1% 6.9% 8.9% 11.5% 14.6% 17.3% 16.6% 4.5%
Jasper Sinatra 1.3% 1.2% 2.9% 2.2% 3.3% 4.5% 4.4% 5.0% 9.0% 12.8% 18.8% 24.8% 9.8%
Zachary Brooks 2.4% 3.6% 2.9% 5.2% 3.9% 7.7% 9.7% 11.2% 13.6% 13.0% 13.1% 10.2% 3.5%
Nicholas Gould 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 3.5% 2.7% 5.8% 5.2% 7.3% 10.2% 13.8% 17.3% 20.4% 10.2%
Ethan Hall 5.0% 6.9% 8.2% 9.3% 11.9% 9.6% 14.1% 12.1% 9.9% 7.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Joseph Bitterman 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 1.2% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 5.7% 14.1% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.