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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.26+3.59vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.51+1.12vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.90+1.99vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.06vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-0.26vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73-1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.01+0.34vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-1.71-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.36-0.96vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-2.35-1.79vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-3.79-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.12Washington College0.510.2%1st Place
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2.63Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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5.99University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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4.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.74Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.54Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.69Ocean County College-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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9.21Drexel University-2.350.0%1st Place
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11.17Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Gualdoni | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 23.5% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 31.1% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Roberts | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
| Zachary Brooks | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 25.7% | 10.6% |
| Jasper Sinatra | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 27.5% | 11.5% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.