Race 12B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kennedy Jones 23.5% 19.4% 17.5% 16.1% 9.7% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 10.9% 10.7% 14.4% 11.9% 14.0% 12.4% 9.6% 7.5% 5.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Ethan Hall 4.5% 6.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.2% 12.3% 13.5% 11.5% 9.1% 6.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2%
William Roberts 5.4% 8.3% 9.9% 8.7% 12.9% 12.6% 9.8% 11.7% 9.3% 7.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Jessica Schaefer 9.8% 9.7% 13.1% 11.9% 11.4% 10.7% 14.3% 8.3% 5.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 31.2% 25.8% 16.3% 11.6% 7.3% 4.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gil Hankinson 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 6.6% 12.8% 14.2% 16.9% 16.6% 4.0%
Mason Chapman 5.2% 7.9% 6.0% 10.1% 9.6% 12.8% 13.8% 11.3% 9.6% 7.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Kate Faranetta 2.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 8.4% 12.5% 12.9% 14.4% 14.2% 9.7% 2.8%
Jasper Sinatra 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 7.5% 9.3% 12.6% 18.6% 22.1% 10.9%
Zachary Brooks 1.8% 3.1% 3.1% 5.8% 6.9% 7.7% 7.8% 11.5% 14.6% 14.1% 12.7% 8.6% 2.3%
Nicholas Gould 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 5.1% 6.4% 8.8% 12.4% 17.9% 24.7% 11.5%
Joseph Bitterman 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.2% 4.2% 6.2% 14.0% 67.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.