Race 7A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Samuel Blouin 11.9% 11.6% 12.4% 10.9% 7.6% 9.0% 7.9% 5.9% 6.1% 5.0% 3.7% 3.2% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0%
Zeke Horowitz 6.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 6.8% 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.9% 6.5% 7.9% 5.2% 5.1% 5.5% 3.0%
Jason Carminati 5.0% 5.7% 5.3% 6.5% 5.8% 7.5% 5.5% 6.6% 8.2% 5.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.2% 6.3% 6.5%
Coleman Bowen 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.9% 6.8% 5.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.2% 8.3% 8.7% 7.2%
Mateo Vargas 6.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.1% 6.4% 8.5% 6.7% 6.3% 7.6% 8.1% 7.9% 7.6% 4.8% 6.2% 3.9%
Alan Palmer 12.4% 10.4% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 9.3% 8.9% 7.5% 5.2% 4.8% 3.5% 2.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Eamon Glackin 5.9% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 7.4% 7.2% 7.2% 8.7% 6.6%
Ian Holtzworth 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 6.5% 5.1% 6.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.4% 6.9% 8.6% 11.1% 10.6% 8.6%
Gavin Rudolph 4.8% 4.7% 5.1% 7.0% 6.0% 6.9% 5.6% 7.8% 8.5% 6.5% 8.1% 9.0% 7.9% 6.8% 5.3%
Edward Glackin 4.0% 3.4% 6.3% 5.3% 6.2% 5.4% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2%
Michael Menninger 16.1% 16.3% 12.2% 10.2% 9.2% 8.1% 6.0% 7.0% 5.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Vincent Andrews 2.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 5.7% 4.4% 5.5% 4.0% 6.4% 8.0% 10.1% 14.4% 29.0%
Shawn Murray 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 8.3% 6.5% 8.8% 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 6.9% 5.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.9%
William Hutchings 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 11.3% 9.5% 11.8%
Michael Whitford 5.0% 6.1% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 7.1% 6.2% 8.7% 7.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.6% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.