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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.43+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+7.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.84+4.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.74-1.95vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+0.70vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-2.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.55+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.80-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-2.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.16-1.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.00-2.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.5813.4%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Irvine0.4313.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.292.4%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Irvine-0.843.5%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.7617.5%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Berkeley0.7417.9%1st Place
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7.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.474.8%1st Place
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5.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8311.2%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.4%1st Place
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10.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.3%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Irvine-1.551.7%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Irvine-0.803.6%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.2%1st Place
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12.68University of California at Davis-2.161.1%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Davis-2.001.2%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Davis-2.190.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Kim | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Brayden Money | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 17.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Mason Read | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 25.4% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.