Race 13B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jessica Schaefer 8.4% 10.2% 12.7% 12.8% 13.8% 11.8% 10.2% 8.9% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 31.4% 26.1% 18.0% 9.4% 8.4% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 23.5% 21.6% 16.6% 15.2% 10.7% 7.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Hall 5.9% 8.2% 7.0% 11.5% 12.0% 11.0% 13.3% 10.7% 8.3% 7.1% 4.4% 0.4% 0.2%
William Roberts 6.9% 7.4% 11.1% 11.5% 9.4% 12.4% 12.1% 10.4% 8.2% 7.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Tucker Ballou 7.4% 8.8% 10.6% 12.0% 13.3% 12.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 6.7% 6.4% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 12.4% 12.2% 11.9% 10.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Gil Hankinson 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 8.6% 8.7% 10.6% 14.2% 17.8% 16.2% 4.0%
Zachary Brooks 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.9% 6.8% 8.3% 11.4% 13.9% 13.0% 14.3% 10.3% 3.0%
Jasper Sinatra 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 4.0% 3.3% 4.7% 7.4% 9.0% 13.3% 16.2% 23.3% 11.0%
Kate Faranetta 2.3% 2.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 8.3% 9.8% 11.7% 13.2% 12.9% 12.8% 8.0% 2.2%
Nicholas Gould 1.4% 0.7% 1.8% 2.9% 2.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.7% 8.9% 12.6% 18.6% 22.6% 12.0%
Joseph Bitterman 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.7% 3.2% 5.8% 15.1% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.