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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.38+3.84vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.78+8.05vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+0.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+7.21vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66-1.64vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+4.64vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.34+0.18vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida0.67+1.80vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.11-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-0.42vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65-4.80vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.51-5.17vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.18-0.57vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University0.10-2.55vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.02vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.74-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.05Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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3.21College of Charleston3.100.2%1st Place
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6.19North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.64Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.18Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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9.01The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.58University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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7.2Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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13.43Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.45Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.98Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.03Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 24.3% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% |
| William Turner | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Johnny Perkins | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 31.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.