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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.22vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+4.03vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+0.23vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11+5.08vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74+1.86vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.39vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida0.67+1.73vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.38-5.07vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+1.48vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-0.39vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.34-4.64vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina0.72-3.45vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.18-1.75vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.08vs Predicted
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17Wake Forest University0.10-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.23College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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9.08The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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6.86Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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10.39Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.29Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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4.93Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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11.61Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.36Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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13.25Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.92Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.48Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.8% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 25.7% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Emily Allen | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 14.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| William Turner | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ian Street | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 22.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 30.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.