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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+2.20vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+1.27vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+2.99vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+5.09vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+5.34vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11+0.99vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-3.86vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.51-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida0.67-0.26vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.34-3.79vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.37-1.35vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.18-0.60vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University0.10-2.57vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina0.72-5.48vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.99Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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10.09Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.43Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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8.99The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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5.14Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.64University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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8.21Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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11.65Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.4Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.43Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.52University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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14.01Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 25.6% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| William Turner | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 23.2% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 14.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.