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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.00vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+4.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+2.79vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.72+4.86vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+2.86vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.18+5.82vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida0.67+1.32vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.38-5.26vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.37+0.22vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.100.00vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-9.81vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.580.00vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology0.78-5.17vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-3.98vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.55Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.94Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.86University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.86The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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12.82Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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4.74Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.22Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.0Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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3.19College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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14.0Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.83Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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13.55Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.3% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 14.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 25.8% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 31.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.