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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+5.48vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+2.03vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+3.45vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+4.96vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18+4.65vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+2.37vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.25vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.11-2.19vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.10+0.02vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.58+1.02vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida0.67-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina0.72-5.96vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.10-13.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.81North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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4.71Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.01Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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12.65Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.37Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.75Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.81The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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12.02Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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14.02Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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13.55Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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10.04University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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3.18College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.2% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.0% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Perkins | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 30.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 24.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Ian Street | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 26.5% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.