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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.38+3.69vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.76vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+4.40vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+0.14vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+1.76vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74+0.81vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10-3.93vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.64vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida0.67+0.12vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.58+2.96vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.72-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-0.94vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.18-1.04vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.11-6.36vs Predicted
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16Wake Forest University0.10-3.91vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.76North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.76Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.81Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.07College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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9.64Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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11.33Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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13.96Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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10.03University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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12.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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12.96Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.64The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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12.09Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.55Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 25.4% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 30.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.