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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.00vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+2.70vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida0.67+6.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10-1.96vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+5.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.74-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-0.76vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65-1.98vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.25vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.10+1.12vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18+0.93vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina0.72-3.90vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.58-1.13vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-4.01vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.7Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.78North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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3.04College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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11.36Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.63Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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7.02Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.75Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.12Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.93Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.78The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.1University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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13.87Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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13.56Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 28.2% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ian Street | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 30.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.