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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+7.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+1.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27+0.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+3.05vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.97-0.82vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.07+4.02vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.70-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.28-1.76vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20+0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52+1.83vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.68-2.94vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.27-5.74vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.53-1.08vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.38vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.71vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.84-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.07College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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6.52North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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8.05Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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5.18Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.02Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.72Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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7.24University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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10.61The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.06Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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12.92Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.62Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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15.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.69Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 28.6% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| matthew Monts | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Travers | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 49.7% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.