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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.09+2.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.20+0.94vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.40-0.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37-0.19vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.09-0.31vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.67-1.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Columbia University0.0918.9%1st Place
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2.94SUNY Maritime College0.2023.5%1st Place
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2.62Webb Institute0.4028.1%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3711.7%1st Place
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4.69SUNY Stony Brook-1.097.2%1st Place
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4.17Hamilton College-0.679.6%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Military Academy-2.941.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 18.9% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
Andrew Embry | 23.5% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
Aidan Woods | 28.1% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
Carson Totino | 11.7% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 2.6% |
Mahmodol Mojumder | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 34.4% | 9.4% |
Teddy Jiganti | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 24.3% | 4.0% |
Sophie Fernandez | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.