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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+8.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+5.64vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.68+2.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.81vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+3.70vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40-0.44vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44+1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.36vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.30-1.94vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-4.03vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.02vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-2.23vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.09-5.65vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.26-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.8%1st Place
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7.64Brown University2.377.4%1st Place
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5.19Tulane University2.6813.7%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy2.289.2%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University1.795.4%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University2.489.6%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.409.7%1st Place
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8.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.4%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University1.442.7%1st Place
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7.64University of Pennsylvania2.166.9%1st Place
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9.06Webb Institute1.305.5%1st Place
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11.51Eckerd College0.853.0%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.8%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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13.77Florida State University0.371.7%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College1.092.6%1st Place
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15.67University of Michigan-0.260.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.