Race 8A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Coleman Bowen 5.5% 6.0% 4.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 6.6% 7.7% 5.4% 9.1% 7.8% 7.3% 8.1%
Michael Whitford 4.7% 6.1% 5.9% 4.8% 7.6% 7.6% 5.7% 6.2% 5.9% 8.0% 8.1% 6.7% 10.2% 7.1% 5.4%
Zeke Horowitz 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 7.5% 6.8% 7.6% 6.0% 8.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.9%
Samuel Blouin 11.9% 11.7% 12.0% 9.4% 7.9% 8.5% 8.4% 6.1% 6.5% 5.6% 4.3% 3.1% 1.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Michael Menninger 17.0% 14.1% 12.5% 9.8% 11.1% 7.6% 8.2% 5.4% 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Alan Palmer 11.6% 11.6% 10.1% 11.0% 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 6.2% 6.7% 5.2% 3.8% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Jason Carminati 5.5% 5.4% 4.3% 6.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 6.6% 9.2% 7.7% 6.8% 9.2% 5.1%
Edward Glackin 4.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.6% 5.3% 5.6% 6.1% 6.0% 8.8% 6.5% 6.5% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 8.3%
Mateo Vargas 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 6.4% 7.7% 8.6% 7.8% 8.2% 6.3% 6.9% 9.1% 7.9% 4.4% 5.3% 2.2%
Ian Holtzworth 4.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 4.8% 7.0% 6.9% 5.4% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 9.8%
William Hutchings 3.8% 3.1% 5.3% 5.2% 4.9% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 6.3% 5.2% 8.6% 7.7% 9.5% 11.1% 13.0%
Eamon Glackin 4.3% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.7% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 8.6% 7.4% 8.0% 9.7% 8.4% 7.5%
Shawn Murray 8.0% 7.5% 7.4% 8.1% 6.4% 8.6% 6.9% 7.8% 8.1% 8.4% 6.3% 6.9% 4.2% 2.9% 2.5%
Gavin Rudolph 4.6% 5.9% 5.6% 6.5% 5.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.1% 6.1% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 7.7% 8.3% 6.2%
Vincent Andrews 2.0% 2.9% 3.7% 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 3.0% 5.2% 5.7% 5.0% 6.1% 6.6% 10.2% 13.3% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.