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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine0.43+3.90vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+6.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-1.09vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.58-2.67vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.16+3.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+0.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.55-0.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.80-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.84-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-3.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-2.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.00-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of California at Irvine0.4312.9%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8311.2%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.9%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Berkeley0.7417.2%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.7618.4%1st Place
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7.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.475.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.5815.1%1st Place
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10.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.6%1st Place
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12.6University of California at Davis-2.161.2%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.291.8%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Irvine-1.551.6%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Irvine-0.803.0%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Irvine-0.843.9%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.1%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Davis-2.191.4%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Davis-2.000.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Leddy | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Olsen | 17.2% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 18.4% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Conor Kim | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 23.8% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Mason Read | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Brayden Money | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 24.3% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.