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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+3.17vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.27+4.18vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.80-0.83vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.97-0.08vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.70-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.28+0.09vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79+0.54vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.94-0.64vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+1.59vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52+1.86vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.07-0.97vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.68-3.81vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.20-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.18vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.53-3.10vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.84-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.47North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.18University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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3.17College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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4.92Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.92Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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7.09University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.54Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.36Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.59Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.03Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.19Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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10.76The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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15.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.9Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.66Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 26.8% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew King | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 11.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 49.8% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 10.7% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 22.0% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.