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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+3.19vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.70+3.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+3.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+3.13vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.80-2.75vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.53+5.78vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.97-3.01vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+2.13vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.28-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52+1.90vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.20-1.37vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.34vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University0.68-4.87vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.17vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.84-2.32vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.79-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.61North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.22University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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8.13Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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3.25College of Charleston2.800.2%1st Place
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12.78Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.99Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.13Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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7.03University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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12.9University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.63The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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11.66Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.13Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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15.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.68Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.74Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 24.6% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 9.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| David Manley | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 12.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Travers | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 50.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 17.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.