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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+5.91vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+4.40vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+7.60vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.07+7.01vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27-0.76vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.27+0.14vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.97-2.99vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.80-5.78vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.70-4.23vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.68-1.80vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.53+0.83vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.09vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.84-1.42vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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6.4North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.6The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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11.01Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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8.9Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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5.01Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.22College of Charleston2.800.2%1st Place
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5.77Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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9.2Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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12.83Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.31Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.58Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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15.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 23.4% | 23.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 9.8% |
| Matthew King | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 17.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.