← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Carolina1.28+6.00vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.94+6.12vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University1.97+2.01vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.80-0.82vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.70+0.65vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.27-1.57vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.46-0.41vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel0.20+2.49vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.27-1.67vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.79-1.33vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-0.52+1.84vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.07-0.94vs Predicted
-
13Wake Forest University0.68-3.81vs Predicted
-
14Duke University-0.84-0.28vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.37vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.73vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-0.53-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.0University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
-
8.12Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
-
5.01Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
-
3.18College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
-
5.65Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
6.59North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
10.49The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
7.33University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.67Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
12.84University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.06Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.19Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
-
13.72Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
11.63Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
15.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.84Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 26.2% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 10.5% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 18.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 48.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.