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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+1.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+3.56vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+4.72vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.07+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27-1.60vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.68+2.08vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.28-1.06vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+2.73vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.70-4.26vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52+1.84vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.94-3.79vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.20-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-6.75vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.84-1.39vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.53-3.12vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.05College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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6.56North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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8.72Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.97Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.08Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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6.94University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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11.73Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.74Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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12.84University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.21Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.74The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.25University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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13.61Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.88Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 28.1% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| David Manley | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| matthew Monts | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 9.7% |
| Matthew King | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 18.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 10.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.