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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.70+4.55vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+8.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+5.03vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+4.54vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.80-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+0.84vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46-0.54vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.97-3.16vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.86-3.60vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.28-3.11vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.68-1.95vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+0.71vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.07-2.03vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.53-1.18vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.84-1.52vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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10.47The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.03Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.54Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.02College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.84Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.89University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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9.05Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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12.71Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.97Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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12.82Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.48Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Monts | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Matthew King | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 29.8% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.1% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 9.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 16.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.