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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+5.28vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+4.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.80+0.03vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+4.19vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.53+7.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+0.87vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.68+1.89vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.70-2.41vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97-3.96vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.07+0.87vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+1.81vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.86-6.75vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.52-0.25vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-5.31vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.12vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.84-2.37vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.20-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.85University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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8.19Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.58Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.87University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.89Wake Forest University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.59Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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5.04Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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10.87Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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12.81Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.69Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.63Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.57The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 27.2% | 22.2% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 8.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 9.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 47.7% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 16.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.